Sept 27 Seat Projections: Ontario election

The most recent projections have the Liberals winning a few more seats even though the vote share is not much changed for the Liberals it has gone down a little for the Conservatives. The Liberals are up three seats from last time and the Conservatives down 3..
As of Sept. 27
Liberals 59
Conservatives 36
NDP 12



Here are the ten wealthiest and ten poorest ridings in Ontario. Note that 7 of the 10 wealthiest ridings elect PCs. I guess the moral is if you want your riding to be rich vote PC. If you want it to be poor vote NDP ;) All this material plus the projections come from DemocraticSpace.

What are the wealthiest and poorest ridings in Ontario? Here’s your answer (based on the latest figures, which are from the 2001 census):

WEALTHIEST

RIDING AVG HH INCOME REGION PARTY 1
1 DON VALLEY WEST $110,393 TORONTO PC
2 OAKVILLE $105,658 PEEL-HALTON PC
3 THORNHILL $101,175 YORK-DURHAM PC
4 HALTON $99,868 PEEL-HALTON PC
5 OAK RIDGES-MARKHAM $99,281 YORK-DURHAM PC
6 CARLETON-MISSISSIPPI MILLS $98,174 OTTAWA PC
7 EGLINTON-LAWRENCE $92,914 TORONTO LIB
8 PICKERING-SCARBOROUGH EAST $92,322 YORK-DURHAM LIB
9 ST. PAUL’S $92,267 TORONTO LIB
10 NEWMARKET-AURORA $92,135 YORK-DURHAM PC



POOREST

RIDING AVG HH INCOME REGION PARTY 1
107 HAMILTON CENTRE $42,448 HAMILTON-NIAGARA NDP
106 TIMISKAMING-COCHRANE $45,801 NORTHERN LIB
105 ALGOMA-MANITOULIN $46,175 NORTHERN LIB
104 YORK SOUTH-WESTON $47,386 TORONTO NDP
103 PARRY SOUND-MUSKOKA $49,440 CENTRAL PC
102 PRINCE EDWARD-HASTINGS $49,769 EASTERN LIB
101 SUDBURY $49,931 NORTHERN LIB
100 RENFREW-NIPISSING-PEMBROKE $50,591 EASTERN PC
99 BRUCE-GREY-OWEN SOUND $50,781 SOUTHWESTERN PC
98 STORMONT-DUNDAS-S GLENGARRY $50,856 EASTERN LIB



Not surprisingly, 7 of the top 10 wealthiest ridings are currently projecting for the Progressive Conservatives, and, if you look at the full list, it’s clear that the NDP’s seats are generally low-income (11 of 12 are below average, while one is about average). Interesting that PC leader John Tory choose to run in what is easily the wealthiest riding in the province