The Liberals have gained one seat from the last projection on Sept. 27 and the Conservatives have lost one. Personally I would be just as happy if the Liberal total went down a bit and the NDP up and result in a minority government. The way the vote is going the Liberals could very well gain a majority. Perhaps a Liberal majority might make Harper a bit more cautious in his Throne Speech but I hope not. A fall federal election would be a good thing for all Canadians and in particular bloggers! This material is from democraticspace. The site has projections for areas and specific ridings as well.
Update 24: Liberals in Majority Territory
Friday September 28th 2007, 10:13 am
Filed under: Canadian Politics, - 2007 ON Election
The latest projections from DemocraticSPACE have the Liberals holding a slim majority. Dalton McGuinty’s Liberals are now projected at 60 seats (6 more than is needed for a majority) based on average support of 41.5%, John Tory’s Progressive Conservatives with 35 seats and 34.0% support, and Howard Hampton’s NDP with 12 seats and 16.0% support. Frank de Jong’s Green Party is projected at 7.0% support and no seats, and all others at 1.4%.
Projections are based on a weighted average of the last five polls conducted by leading pollsters, including the latest not-yet-released Ipsos-Reid poll (through 27 Sept). Poll data is calibrated regionally and adjusted for individual candidates, providing the most accurate predictive model available. Current projections are based on 3,362 surveys conducted between 18 and 27 Sept and have a margin of error of +/- 1.69%.
LIBERAL 60 seats 41.5% support
PC 35 seats 34.0% support
NDP 12 seats 16.0% support
GREEN 0 seats 7.0% support
OTHERS 0 seats 1.4% support
No comments:
Post a Comment