This is from the following site. There are many more posts and tables as well. The projection does not consider the latest poll results.
As the writ drops on the 2007 Ontario election campaign, DemocraticSPACE is projecting Dalton McGuinty’s Liberals currently leading John Tory’s Progressive Conservatives in both support, 40.8% to 35.5% and projected seats, 55 seats to 40 seats. Howard Hampton’s NDP is third with 17.3% support and 12 seats. Projections are based on a weighted average of the last five polls conducted by leading pollsters, including the latest Ipsos-Reid poll conducted Sept 6-8 (DemocraticSPACE has an exclusive partnership with Ipsos-Reid throughout the Ontario 2007 campaign). Poll data is calibrated regionally and adjusted for individual candidates, providing the most accurate predictive model available. Current projections are based on 3,612 surveys conducted between 14 Aug and 8 Sept and have a margin of error of +/- 1.63%.
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