Although there are still 20 percent undecided it would seem that it would need something akin to a miracle for the Sask. Party not to win a majority. On the last poll it seems that Sask Party support was firmer than NDP support so it is always possible that the undecided and soft NDP supporters will swing to the Sask Party and that could create a route. On the other hand perhaps Saskatoon and Regina will be able to remain NDP bastions.
I guess with Doer and the NDP in Manitoba we will be the most leftist province in Canada after Nov. 7.!! Maybe we will have a huge inflow of lefties from Saskatchewan fleeing from the Sask. Party occupation.
Sask. Party has big lead: newspaper poll
Last Updated: Friday, November 2, 2007 | 7:05 PM CT
A new election poll conducted by the Regina Leader-Post and the Saskatoon Star-Phoenix suggests the Saskatchewan Party has a significant lead over the NDP as the province heads to the election next week.
The numbers suggest the Saskatchewan Party has the support of 54.2 per cent of decided voters, the NDP has backing from 33.7 per cent of decided voters and the Liberals are far behind with 8.1 per cent support.
According to the poll, just over 20 per cent of voters still have not decided who they will be voting for on Nov. 7.
The poll was the talk of the campaign trail Friday.
NDP Leader Lorne Calvert was putting a brave face on numbers that suggested the NDP's 16-year reign was poised to end.
"Well, miracles happen," he said.
Calvert said the poll could actually help his party.
"This poll is a call to action," Calvert said. "I have said from the outset of this campaign that this will be one of the toughest campaigns we've ever been in and the poll this morning confirms that."
Liberal Leader David Karwacki also called the poll a warning to voters.
Karwacki said a blowout for any one party is bad for democracy.
"What I'm asking Saskatchewan people to take a look at is, is it a good thing to have such a strong majority in the house? I don't believe that is a good thing, that in fact we do need other voices in the house to hold them to account."
Saskatchewan Party Leader Brad Wall said his party isn't taking anything for granted.
"This is just a poll, that's all it is, and there's a lot of work to do," Wall said.
Wall said the only poll that really matters will be held on Nov. 7, when Saskatchewan people vote.
Jennifer Lang of the CBC research department said she considers the poll accurate as far as the entire province goes, but notes it doesn't provide insight into what's happening in different areas.
"The samples aren't quite large enough to tell us whether or not, you know, what's happening specifically in Regina and Saskatoon," she said.
"And that's good, that they're not trying to come up with predictions for the markets. Because we just can't dig down quite that deep."
The survey involved phone calls to 1,300 people in Saskatchewan between Oct. 26 and 30.
That was before the leaders debate, which means people's opinions following the debate are not accounted for.
A poll of that size has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 per cent, 19 times out of 20.