The Conservatives do not seem to be able to build toward a majority and the Liberals are going nowhere fast as well. You will now hear a constant refrain from the two major parties that Canadians do not want an election. If the Conservatives or Liberals had polls that would give them a majority their would be a different tune. Expect the Liberals to support the Conservatives unless they are sure one of the other parties will do so! At least the NDP seems to be increasing its vote a little. In BC the Liberals seem to be far behind!
This is the Vancouver Sun.
Harper Tories still lead Liberals: poll
BY MEAGAN FITZPATRICK, CANWEST NEWS SERVICEMARCH 20, 2010
The Conservatives have the support of 34 per cent of decided voters, down three percentage points from the last poll earlier this month, while the Liberals secured 28 per cent of voters, down one percentage point.
Photograph by: Chris Wattie, Reuters
OTTAWA — Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Conservatives have lost some support but would still emerge victorious if a federal election were held today, according to a poll conducted for Canwest News Service and Global National.
The Conservatives have the support of 34 per cent of decided voters, down three percentage points from the last poll earlier this month, while the Liberals secured 28 per cent of voters, down one percentage point. The New Democratic Party was in third with 18 per cent of the vote; 10 per cent of Canadians would support the Green party.
The Ipsos Reid poll is the first to ask Canadians who they would vote for since MPs returned to Parliament Hill following their prorogation break and since the budget was delivered on March 4.
With these results, a majority government remained out of reach for the Conservatives and the Liberals and neither party appeared to have made significant progress in boosting its popularity.
The poll of 1,001 Canadians was conducted between March 16 and 18 and the results are considered accurate within 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
In the battleground of Quebec, the Conservatives have a lot of catching up to do to close the gap with the Bloc Quebecois which has 35 per cent of the votes. The Liberals have 27 per cent followed by the Conservatives in third at 20 per cent. The NDP has 11 per cent and the Green party would garner eight per cent, according to the poll results.
"Their Quebec strategy from the last election that failed, continues not to get them anywhere," Bricker said of the Tories' poor performance in Quebec.
The Liberals still have a grip on voters in Ontario where they would get 36 per cent of the votes compared to 33 per cent for the Tories, 19 per cent for the NDP and 10 per cent for the Green party.
In British Columbia, however, the Liberals are far back in third place at 17 per cent, behind the Conservatives, at 43 per cent, and the NDP with 22 per cent. In fact, the Liberals were in a statistical tie with the Greens, who had 16 per cent support.
Support for the parties has been relatively stable since the last federal election and with these latest poll results, Bricker said it's unlikely any of them would want an election in the near future. None would be able to secure a majority government, if the current numbers hold through an election campaign, he added.
"Unless the Conservatives can find a way to make a big breakthrough in Ontario or Quebec or the Liberals can get a big lead in Ontario and then establish some beachheads in some other places, you just don't see it for anybody," Bricker said.
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