This poll is reasonably consistent with the Nanos CPAC poll. The Conservatives are not as far ahead as in their Friday poll which gave them 41 per cent. They are now back firmly in minority territory! The poll still gives quite a bit less to the Liberals than the Nanos poll 27 versus 31. The Bloc vote is up 2 per cent from Nanos and the NDP down two percent. The polls continue to be rather volatile.
Poll suggests Conservative lead softening
Liberals increase support to 27 per cent: survey
Last Updated: Monday, September 15, 2008 12:20 PM ET CBC News
The Conservatives' substantial lead over the Liberals appears to be narrowing, according to an opinion poll released on Monday ahead of the Oct. 14 federal election.
The Canadian Press Harris-Decima poll, in partnership with the CBC, gave the Conservatives 38 per cent support across Canada, down from 41 per cent on Friday. They were followed by the Liberals at 27 per cent, up from 24 per cent on Friday.
"If a federal election were being held tomorrow, who would you be voting for?"
Green party 9%
Bloc Québécois 8%
At least 1,343 Canadian adults interviewed Sept 11-14
Meanwhile, the NDP increased its national support by one percentage point to 16 per cent.
The Greens remained at nine per cent national support, while eight per cent of respondents said they favoured the Bloc Québécois.
"We have now ... a bit of a sign that say, a week ago, the Conservatives might have been flirting with that majority number we were talking about, but now, perhaps not so much the case," said the CBC's David Taylor, who is tracking the polls.
Tories to be 'scrutinized': survey head
Harris-Decima president Bruce Anderson said the numbers suggested the lead Stephen Harper's Conservatives gained in the first week of campaigning, which featured advertising emphasizing Harper as a sensible centrist choice, appears to be softening.
"The Conservatives set the tone and the pace they wanted in the week before and the week after the writ was dropped," Anderson said in a release.
But, he said, the campaign is now entering a different phase, in which voters will be looking more closely for signs that the Tories would govern from the centre instead from a more aggressively partisan or ideological position.
"The formula for the success the Conservatives employed in the last two weeks will be scrutinized more heavily by voters in the coming two weeks," he said.
The results are based on roughly 1,300 interviews over the telephone with Canadians of voting age over the past four days and are considered accurate to within plus or minus 2.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The Harris/Decima poll interviewed roughly 300 Canadians every night, as part of a rolling nationwide survey that will continue throughout the election campaign