Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Canadian Federal Election Forecasts.

These predictions are from nodice. These are seat projections.



There are two sets of predictions. The first is from August 14th and has no undecided category:



Conservatives 126

Liberal 114

NDP 19

Bloc 48

Other 1



The second is from August 29th and includes seats undecided or too close to call.



Conservatives 96

Liberal 71

NDP 16

Bloc 28

Undecided 97



Both these fail to take into account an even more recent poll that puts the Conservatives ahead significantly with 37 percent of the vote. Even this is probably not enough for a majority however and if the electorate has any sense it will go down after people realise the games Harper is playing with them.

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