If results of this type continue neither the Conservatives nor the Liberals will want a fall election. Ignatieff will huff and puff but not blow the house down but rather continue with the unending drama of Dion 8 or 9 without the Green Shift! Liberals can continue to build their war chest and no doubt claim that they are making parliament work. Of course it will work in the interests of Harper policy! Of course Harper could misjudge the situation again and perhaps force Ignatieff to vote against the government or completely lose face.
Perhaps it will not be too long before some Liberals begin to wonder if Ignatieff will be able to lead them to an electoral victory of any sort!
Canada ruling Conservatives retake lead in new poll
Thu Aug 6, 2009 10:26am EDT
OTTAWA, Aug 6 (Reuters) - Canada's governing Conservatives have regained a narrow lead in public opinion over the main opposition Liberals, but would struggle to win an election now, according to a weekly poll released on Thursday.
The Ekos survey for the Canadian Broadcasting Corp put the Conservatives at 34.9 percent support, up from 32.5 percent last week. The Liberals were at 31.9 percent, down from 34.1 percent.
The Liberals are threatening to present a motion of non-confidence in the government when Parliament returns in late September but would stand little chance of victory even as a minority government in the ensuing election, the survey indicates.
"For weeks now, the Liberals and Conservatives have had barely any room between them, and neither can claim any momentum," Ekos said in a statement.
No party looks capable of hitting the 37 percent level of support that would give it a good chance of capturing at least a minority government.
The Conservatives won a strengthened minority in last October's election but have lost popular support as the economic crisis hit and the Liberals accused them of not doing enough to help Canadians who were most affected.
The Ekos automated telephone survey of 2,025 decided adult voters was conducted between July 29 and Aug. 4 and is considered accurate to within 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. (Reporting by David Ljunggren; editing by Peter Galloway)
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